Surprising Lead for Bernardo Arevalo in Guatemala Presidential Race

Surprising Lead for Bernardo Arevalo in Guatemala Presidential Race

A recent public opinion poll conducted by CID Gallup reveals that Bernardo Arevalo, a candidate for the progressive Movimiento Semilla party, is heading into the upcoming presidential election with a significant lead. According to the survey, Arevalo is projected to win by 61 percent, marking a major upset over early frontrunner Sandra Torres, the candidate for the conservative National Unity of Hope party.

Arevalo’s unexpected rise began on June 25 when he performed strongly in the first round of voting. With 11.8 percent of the vote, he secured a spot in the run-off election alongside Torres, who received 15.7 percent. No other candidate polled higher than 8 percent.

However, following Arevalo’s success, rival parties questioned the accuracy of the vote tally and requested a review by the court. Ultimately, the results were upheld, but on the same day, the Attorney General’s Office successfully suspended Arevalo’s Seed Movement party, claiming that the signatures used to form the party were fraudulent. This move was later reversed by the country’s Constitutional Court.

Despite the legal obstacles faced by Arevalo and his party, the CID Gallup poll reflects a positive outlook for his leadership. A significant majority of surveyed Guatemalans (52 percent) expressed optimism about the country’s future under his leadership, while only 6 percent held the same sentiment towards Torres.

Corruption has been a central issue in the presidential campaign, with Arevalo positioning himself as an anti-corruption champion. Torres, on the other hand, has emphasized greater government transparency in her platform, despite facing corruption allegations herself in the past.

As the election approaches, the Guatemalan government is grappling with allegations of corruption and concerns about political interference. Nevertheless, Arevalo’s surge in public opinion polls indicates a potential shift in the political landscape of the country.