Legionnaire’s Disease is becoming a rather concerning topic following the events form last week. The deaths of seven people in New York is thought to be part of a much larger phenomenon, but we are not here to simply state facts. We are here to analyze them.
To begin with, we are not sure whether Legionnaire’s Disease is as much of a threat as it is supposed to be. We are given some numbers so that we start panicking, but nobody bothers to actually look at the situation for what it really is.
A report from New York Times suggests that the number of Legionnaire’s cases have increased drastically from 1,127 to 4,548 in the last 13 years. Let us begin by assuming that this is a worrying fact. If we make a simple calculation and divide the 4,548 cases to 13 years, we will identify that there are approximately 350 cases of Legionnaire’s every year. Remember we are talking “cases”.
Now according to a medical journal article published back in 2014, the fatal Legionnaire’s cases are only ranging in between 5 percent and 30 percent. Now let us see how many of these actually occur per year: in between 18 people and 105. While the numbers are relatively high, they certainly do not equal the thousands.
It is probable, indeed, that the numbers be slightly different since up to 10 days can pass until individuals develop the disease’s symptoms. African-Americans are most likely to get infected, usually 2 in every 100 thousand individuals contracting the disease. Non-Hispanic whites and Hispanics have a lower chance of making contact with the disease, with a chance of 1.5 and 1.02 respectively for every 100 thousand individuals.
The 2014 medical journal article also mentioned a series of criteria by which you can know if you are more exposed to the disease, and they are rather broad a: individuals who are over 50, who smoke, are diabetic or have a respiratory disease. But these conditions can vary, of course.
The Legionnaire’s Disease is not as dangerous as it seems to be, and while raising awareness is always an admirable act, it should not be blown out of proportion just for the sake of attention.
The issue has been more discussed about rather than dealt with, so in order to prevent future cases we do not need more words. We just need the air conditioning systems to be properly taken care of, a job could be taken care of within a matter of days.
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